NOTE: For today's full card Gulfstream Park selections & analysis, feel free to go back one page.
I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O.
Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None
I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me here on Disqus, or on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1. For those who dig the scene here, and would like to be part of it, registration on our home page is easy, and if you'd like, feel free to include my name in the referral box, and let me know, so I can try and get ya' some cool swag!
Graded Stakes - 4/18 - Oaklawn - Apple Blossom
#1 OLLIE'S CANDY was an even 3rd in the Grade One comebacker at Arcadia last month, but we're assuaged by the fact that the Sad-Man is anything but when it comes to his second off the L/O graded dirt stayers who were ITM 20-45 days back. 16% barn is a delicious 7 for 10 with that type, and owns a whopping $8.18 return on investment in the process. #14 CE CE has done very little wrong this far in her career, as she's a neck shy of a four for five mark ( with the lone major blemish coming just before a long break in the action ). Additionally, shotcaller has a crisp 4-6 mark with runners of this type who won 20-50 days back & are 9-1 or lower. #2 COLDWATER has been freshened up a bit since the starter score back in February, and may spice things up a bit underneath.
Gulfstream ( Spring ): 13-95 ( $209.50 ) Beatable Favorites 0-3 ( 0% ) Favorites Win % 32-95 ( 33.2% ) ( As of Sat. morning )
Gulfstream ( Winter ): 8-76 ( $141.00 ) Beatable Favorites 0-3 ( 0% ) Favorites Win % 230-76 ( 39.1% )
Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 65-427 ( $615.10 ) Beatable Favorites 8-18 ( 44.4% ) Favorites Win %: 174-427 ( 40.8% )
Graded Stakes ( Current ): 2-8 ( $25.60 ) Beatable Favorites N/A ( N/A ) Favorites Win %: 2-8 ( 25.0% )
All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ):
( 2013-2020 Final ) 64-411 ( $581.30 ) Beatable Favorites: 18-56 ( 32.1% ) Favorite's Win %: 139-411 (33.8%) +/-: -29.2% against a 16.8% takeout
Poly Tracks2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Beatable Favorites : 15-68 ( 22.1% )Favorite's Win %: 163-587 ( 27.7% ) +/-: -27.6% against a 15.6% takeout
Dirt Tracks 2013-20 (All Final):2511-12426 ($21,132.80) Beatable Favorites : 343-1222( 28.1% )Favorite's Win %: 4751-12529 ( 37.9% ) +/-: -15.3% against a 16.8% takeout
Cumulative Stats (All Final): 2596-12995 ($21,953.00) Beatable Favorites : 350-1272( 27.5% )Favorite's Win %: 4739-12689 ( 37.4% ) +/-: -15.4% against a 16.6% takeout