4/26 - Kevin "Brooklyn Cowboy" Cox Aqueduct Selections

Big day for us here yesterday, with the following:

--Three winners of $84, $7 & $5

--A $1,342 Rolling Pick Five

--A $1,372 Rolling Pick Four

--Three Rolling Pick Threes of $284, $74 & $52

--A $160 Ice Cold Double

--A $24 Cold Exacta

--A $9 Quinella

--2 for 2 in our "Beatable Favorites" categor

--...and we cold deck a $42 Triple as well.

We now have a flat bet profit for the meet, with three days remaining.

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Today's Beatable Favorite(s): Race 1 - #3 Login Required

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I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

We don't really have the best of reads on today's opener, so tread lightly. #2 DARK DEVIL gets his working papers this afternoon, and $52,000 auction purchase is available for a bit more than that here, so we like the confidence shown. 343 Tomlinson figure is honest enough, and there's a decent gate move on the docket as well. From a trainer stat aspect, this barn has won with half of their six starters fitting all this exact criteria -- any sex or age - - with the winners  returning $10 and $9. #4 GET IT TO MATTHEW played the fade when besting but one at first asking, but takes a little bit of a drop today and has been freshened up since that afternoon. Pre layoff pilot returns, which is something we always like to see. #8 HAVE YOU HEARD has been kept in jail since being purchased for 75 large in early March, and returns back at that exact same level despite having disappointed in his last pair. Notorious money burner may finally offer a little bit of value this afternoon, and as his lone start on a good surface yielded a daylight clear runner up finish. We're inclined to give him another opportunity.  BEATABLE FAVORITE: #3 LOGIN REQUIRED fills the bill, as backers of Nevin are anything but in heaven when it comes to those fitting today's criteria, as she's 1-13 w/that sort.  NOTE: AS OF 12:11, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #1 WILL BE OUR, 3RD SELECTION.

#2 COLLECTED SPECIAL shoots for the hat trick today, and given the way he's gone wire to wire in both starts this annum, we say it's definitely within reach. Colt drops a couple of pounds off the win, which is something we always dig, and there is a nice DRF Formulator stat in play here. Over the last 5 years Atras is 7 of 16 w/his second off the claim dirt runners who won 22 to 50 days back right here, ( at 7-1 or less ) and there's an ROI of $2.93 with that sort. #4 BARKSDALE made every calling a winning one down in Lexington, and while a bounce is always possible off a second off the layoff/career best effort, we'd be remiss in excluding. #6 STOLEN MAGIC has been a part of the superfecta in four of five stars to date, with his best efforts having come over this oval. Logical, given the outside placement.

#2 DADDY KNOWS all the way. #4 PRINCE OF JOY hasn't shown diddly poo in his last quartet, but best work has come at this trip & over the strip, and there's improvement in the stirrups this afternoon. Could jazz things up behind the likely favorite. #7 MY FRIEND'S BEER has closed out the triple in his last troika. Who we to rock that boat?

#2 BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES didn't show much in his first start off the claim last month, but there's no scary drop here, and 5 year old has done decent work at today's distance of ground. From a trainer stat aspect, shedrow is 12:7-2-1 with second off the claim mid level dirt stock or breaks of 15 to 48 days. #6 MYSTIC NIGHT won this race at the end of March, so how can we leave out, especially given his proclivity for finding the winner's circle in Ozone Park. Toss in a 6 fer 8 barn mark with Aqueduct based mid level dirt horsies ( ridden by today's jock ) who scored 23 to 50 days ago ( $3.70 return on investment ) #8 ALLABOUTTHEMONEY has been in just that all three times he is gone from two turns to one. Will give him a chance to do the same here at a decent number.  NOTE: AS OF 12:15, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #1 WILL BE OUR, 3RD SELECTION.

#11 SAMBURU (GB) is on an honest 4:1-1-1 streak coming into today, and after the decent showing down in Hallandale Beach, is protected against being purchased this afternoon. Expect him to be on the choo choo early, in a race that's tough to decipher. #6 GOING CONCERN got up in time to procure the sheepskin in Oldsmar on Saint Valentine's day, and the monstrous pedigree for the trip tells us that day's tally was by no means a fluke. Repeat quite feasible. #2 HOLD THE SALSA hasn't been seen since New Year's Eve eve, but posted a bullet breeze for today's comebacker and may grab a share.  OFF TURF: 10-2-12-4-14(MTO)

#2 MAZZEI takes his first afternoon trek to the front side today, and although the work tab hasn't done much to get the heart thumping, we're assuaged by the high Tomlinson figure for today's distance of ground. From a limited trainer statistic point of view, Bond is on a 3 for 9 run with Queens based firsters on the sod, with the winners coming back at magnanimous $120, $86, and $9, with a sub category of 2:1-1-0 when Javy is on board. Interesting. #1 INSTAMATIC has improved with each passing start, but despite the solid efforts, has recently lost his procreating abilities. Miracle drug is now a part of the makeup, and could pose a threat if able to find a seam late. #3 ART OF COURAGE hasn't been in action for nearly the full length of a calendar, but outran his odds in a big way when completing the exacta @ 24 to 1 last May in his first turf engagement. Obvious threat if able to get back to that.  OFF TURF: 13(AE)-1-3-5-15(AE)

#7 QUICK TO ACCUSE returned off a two+ month freshening to pick up the lion's share against A1X competition right here last out. We are not too worried about a bounce today, has barn knows how to keep them good when they're going good, and this fella has done decently over this oval. Slight edge. #5 LOCKE AND KEY has hit the board in seven of his last eight starts on the sandy stuff, and sheds a solid 5 lb.'s off a decent placing back on 3/29. Can't fault those taking a favorable view. #1 MASON MANIA is in excellent form these days, but being he's a nibbler by nature at the Big A, we will relegate to the unders.

#5 SHORT SHIFT has been MIA since last June, but closed out the superfecta in a decent performance in the sole turf try just prior to that. Obviously, there's a lot of wood to chop to get back to that performance, but it's good to see C-Squared off to such a hot start at the meet. Mild choice in a race -- as usual this time of year -- with no first draft tossouts. #10 ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY is another one who hasn't gotten dressed up in quite some time, but owns a couple of decent running lines on the blades, and is now in receipt of Lasix for the first time. Obviously, the draw stinks like an old slipper. #2 BROOKLYN DANTZ ( cross entered yesterday, so check the changes ) is a half to a turfer who finished 4th in a troubled trip the only time she tried the stuff, while also being a half to another runner who lost by a bit over three lengths after showing some good speed on the grass in his one attempt. Should be a big price.  OFF TURF: 6-1-11(AE)-8-12(AE)

Aqueduct ( Spring ): 23-110 ( $240.90 ) Beatable Favorites: 1-7 ( 14.3% )  Favorite's Win %: 41-110 ( 40% ) ( As of Friday afternoon )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ) 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win % 139-377 ( 36.9% )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 )  Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4129-20204 ($34,313.40) +/-: -15.1% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 459-1706( 27% )Favorite's Win %: 7608-20307( 37.8% ) 

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4160-20772 ( $35,132.60 )Beatable Favorites : 469-1752( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7751-20894( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.5% against a 16.7% takeout