SaratogaBets Handicapping - Kevin Cox's Graded Stakes Selections & Analysis - 2/26 - Saudi Cup


Just a reminder that for today's complete Aqueduct selections & analysis, merely go back one page.

We're now 319:80-48-51 on the stand ( $638 Bet/$742.20 Returned ), as we're guaranteed a flat bet profit until at least March 12th.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O.

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None

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Graded Stakes - 2/26 - Saudi Cup


 Race 8

1.Making Miracles ( GB )

2.Real World ( Ire )

3.Emblem Road

#6 MAKING MIRACLES (GB) has been a completely different animal since returning off an elongated absence -- winning three straight in convincing fashion, all over this strip while toting more weight. That brings his record to 5:4-0-1 right here, with the lone blemish being an honest showing in a G1 event. Jock Alexis Moreno seemingly had his choice of a couple of runners today, and leaned this way, which is a definitely a good sign. As for the aforementioned pilot, in 2011, we went to Panama to scout jockeys, and ended up paying a lawyer $5,000, while signing him to a contract to bring him to The States. Well, you can figure out what happened -- lawyer kept the bread, and the kid stayed there for a bit before moving on to Saudi Arabia to do wonderful things. Damn happy for him, and at the very least -- at least we have an eye for talent !  #10 REAL WORLD (IRE) found the line first in his sole "2nd off the shelf" jammie, and we don't need much of an excuse to use Frankie at a price. #4 EMBLEM ROAD shoots for the grand salami today, and although he faces the sternest test of his career, we'll incorporate a hot runner at a big offering.


Aqueduct          ( Current ): 80-319  ( $742.20 )   Beatable  Favorites: 10-33 ( 30.1% )   Favorites   Win %:   114-319  ( 35.7% ) ( As of Saturday morning )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days  ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ):

( 2013-2020 Final ) 74-465  ( $703.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 18-57 ( 31.6% ) Favorite's Win %: 140-414 (33.8%)  +/-: -24.3% against a 16.8% takeout  

Polytracks   2013-16 (All Final): 85-568          ( $819.20 )  Beatable Favorites : 15-68      ( 22.1% )Favorite's Win %: 163-587       ( 27.7% ) +/-: -27.6%  against a 15.6% takeout

Dirt Tracks  2013-21 (All Final):3112-16022 ($26,872.10)  Beatable Favorites : 390-1427( 27.3% )Favorite's Win %: 6040-16030 ( 37.6% ) +/-: -16.1%  against a 16.9% takeout

Cumulative Stats    (All Final): 3197-16590 ($27,691.30)   Beatable Favorites : 405-1495( 27.1% ) Favorite's Win %: 6203-16691 ( 37.2% ) +/-: -16.4%  against a 16.7% takeout